Making Earth more like Venus
Tuesday, September 30th, 2008I think greenhouse warming is a serious problem to be addressed over the coming years. Nonetheless, some of the proclamations of environmentalists, and even scientists, make me want to throw things at a TV screen, monitor, or journal (though this last option lacks the satisfying smash of the others). Among the worst offenders in this category is the use of hellish surface conditions on Venus as a worst-case-scenario, allegedly demonstrating what can happen when greenhouse gasses get out of control. In honor of these alarmists, here are a few of the ways we could make Earth a little more like Venus:
- Add CO2 to the atmosphere (this is the one they mean). Maybe everyone could breath out at the same time?
- Move Earth 40,000,000-odd km toward the Sun. I think this could be done by getting everyone to stand on the light side of the world and throw rocks over the horizon. Later, the rocks would land, and everyone would go home, but the net effect would be to briefly increase the tidal force of the Sun upon the Earth (since the total mass would be spread out more along a vector from the Earth to the Sun), slowing the planet’s rotation and increasing the radius of its orbit, in accord with the conservation of angular momentum. The resulting cooler conditions would make everyone come in from the beach and work on science, so we could invent technology to move Earth 40,000,000-odd km toward the Sun.
- Destroy all life. (They think they mean this, too.)
- Increase the pressure of the atmosphere by about 9300%. Maybe we could all blow out really hard…
Besides this, the idea of a “runaway greenhouse effect” on Earth is quite unsupportable. During past interglacial periods, Earth has had higher temperatures and CO2 concentrations than even the most aggressive climate models are predicting for the next century. If such a tipping point existed in Earth’s radiation balance, we would already have tipped. Yes, the notion that some such tipping point could exist makes theoretical sense. No, we’re not anywhere near such a point.
Repeat after me, BBC, CNN, and scientists who’re trying way too hard to bring Americans around on climate change: Earth and Venus ARE NOT COMPARABLE! There are good reasons to bring greenhouse emissions under control. Fear of Earth becoming a completely uninhabitable wasteland is not one of them.